Panthers Visit Capitals After White House Celebration

Fresh off their visit to the White House on Monday, the Florida Panthers will take on the Washington Capitals in a matchup between two teams trending in the right direction. Florida has dominated this head-to-head series in recent years, winning nine of the last ten meetings. However, the Capitals put an end to that streak with a 4-1 victory on November 25.

Panthers in Strong Form, But Facing a Step Up in Competition

Florida has been rolling, posting a 7-3 record in its last 10 games and winning four of its last five. However, their recent schedule hasn’t been the toughest, and this matchup against Washington could be a tougher test.

The Panthers have been one of the NHL’s best road teams this season (16-10-1), but from a betting standpoint, they have been only marginally profitable as road favorites, winning 11 of 18 games in that role.

From an analytical perspective, Florida should dictate the pace of play. Over the last month, they rank second in shot attempts and fourth in expected goals at even strength, according to Evolving Hockey. That said, both teams have had similar even-strength scoring rates. Special teams could be a concern for the Panthers, as they have been average or worse in that department lately.

Bobrovsky Finds His Groove in Net

After a mediocre first half of the season, goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky appears to have rediscovered his top form. The veteran netminder has allowed only five goals in his last four starts (4-0-0) while posting a .953 save percentage. Florida has outscored its opposition 14-4 during this stretch, and Bobrovsky will look to continue his stellar play as he gets the start on Tuesday.

Capitals Look to Rebound After Overtime Setbacks

Washington is coming off back-to-back overtime losses to the Ottawa Senators and Winnipeg Jets, but despite the recent setbacks, the Capitals have also won seven of their last ten games.

While Washington hasn’t been at its best, the team has remained competitive. The Capitals rank among the bottom 10 in shot attempt percentage over the last month, indicating that Florida will likely control possession. However, they have posted the 13th-best expected goal share at even strength in that span, showing they have been more efficient with their opportunities.

Special Teams Could Give Washington an Edge

One area where the Capitals hold an advantage is special teams. Since January 4, Washington ranks fifth in penalty killing (85.4%) and 10th on the power play (25.6%). Florida, on the other hand, has been one of the most penalized teams in the league this season, which could give the Capitals opportunities to capitalize with the man advantage.

Thompson Provides Stability in Goal for Capitals

The Capitals also have a clear edge in net, with Logan Thompson confirmed as Tuesday’s starter. Thompson has been one of the best goaltenders in the league this season. Only Connor Hellebuyck has outperformed him in goals saved above expected, according to Evolving Hockey, and Thompson actually leads that category since November 30.

Although he allowed five goals in Washington’s 5-4 overtime loss to Winnipeg, it was the first time since his second start of the season that he had given up that many. Prior to that, Thompson had been in outstanding form, posting a .942 save percentage over his previous nine games (7-0-2). He will be back between the pipes looking to help the Capitals pull off another upset win against Florida.

Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals Elite NHL Pick 2/4

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